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September 2014’s PMI Decreased 4.5 Points

by: Smith and Howard

October 1, 2014

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October 1, 2014: Georgia’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) — a reading of economic activity in the state’s manufacturing sector — decreased 4.5 points during September. The Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Report is underwritten by the Manufacturing and Distribution Group of Smith & Howard, a top Atlanta CPA firm with a focus on serving manufacturing businesses, and is produced monthly by the Econometric Center at Kennesaw State University.

Some general remarks from the September respondents:

“Demand has leveled off and supply is in line so we are kind of flat.”
“I still do not see confidence in the power industry for adding more capacity.”
“For our particular industry the slowdown has started extremely early this year.”

Other highlights of the September PMI include:  

  • New orders were up 7.3 points, to 68.2 
  • Production was down 8.2 points, to 61.4
  • Employment was up 0.3 points, to 56.8
  • Supplier delivery time was up 2.5 points, to 56.8
  • Finished inventory was down 24.3 points, to 40.9
  • Commodity prices were down 10.8 points, to 52.3

The Georgia PMI provides a snapshot of manufacturing activity in the state, just as the monthly PMI released by the Institute for Supply Management provides a picture of national manufacturing activity. The national PMI was down 2.4 points in September, to 56.6. A PMI reading above 50 indicates that manufacturing activity is expanding; a reading below 50 indicates it is contracting.
   
The Georgia PMI reading is a composite of five variables — new orders, production, employment, supply deliveries and finished inventory. A sixth variable, commodity prices, is compiled by the Coles College’s Econometric Center but does not go into the PMI calculation.
   
The PMI, compiled from a monthly survey of manufacturers, is the earliest indicator of market conditions in the sector. Since manufacturing, which accounts for 11 percent of GDP, is sensitive to changes in the economy, it can also reveal changing macroeconomic trends.
   
The PMI’s value is in its timeliness and sensitivity to variables such as interest rates, global markets and other economic changes. The Georgia PMI provides valuable data used by institutions such as the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta to assist in their analysis of current economic conditions, along with many other data sources, to get a picture of economic activity.
  
Read the entire report by clicking the PDF link at the top of this article. Contact any member of the Manufacturing/Distribution group of Smith & Howard at 404-874-6244.

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