Georgia’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) — a reading of economic activity in the state’s manufacturing sector — decreased by 3.6 points in January, to 52.0. Although a decrease, the Georgia PMI level remains consistent with economic expansion.
The Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Report is underwritten by the Manufacturing and Distribution Group of Smith & Howard, a top Atlanta CPA firm with a focus on serving manufacturing businesses, and is produced monthly by the Econometric Center at Kennesaw State University.
Some general remarks from the January respondents:
- “We are hoping for an uptick in sales in the first quarter. Initial indications are positive.”
- “Usual seasonal slowdown but outlook still very good.”
- “Expect economy to continue to improve.”
Other highlights of the January PMI include:
- New orders were down 5.8 points, to 56.7
- Production was down 6.3 points, to 50.0
- Employment was up 0.4 points, to 56.7
- Supplier delivery time was down 3.1 points, to 50.0
- Finished inventory was down 3.3 points, to 46.7
- Commodity prices were down 12.1 points, to 56.7
The Georgia PMI provides a snapshot of manufacturing activity in the state, just as the monthly PMI released by the Institute for Supply Management provides a picture of national manufacturing activity. The national PMI was up 1.5 points in January, to 56.0. A PMI reading above 50 indicates that manufacturing activity is expanding; a reading below 50 indicates it is contracting.
The Georgia PMI reading is a composite of five variables — new orders, production, employment, supply deliveries and finished inventory. A sixth variable, commodity prices, is compiled by the Coles College’s Econometric Center but does not go into the PMI calculation.
The PMI, compiled from a monthly survey of manufacturers, is the earliest indicator of market conditions in the sector. Since manufacturing, which accounts for 11 percent of GDP, is sensitive to changes in the economy, it can also reveal changing macroeconomic trends.
The PMI’s value is in its timeliness and sensitivity to variables such as interest rates, global markets and other economic changes. The Georgia PMI provides valuable data used by institutions such as the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta to assist in their analysis of current economic conditions, along with many other data sources, to get a picture of economic activity.